1.14.26 Munis Poised for Strong Returns in 2026
Municipal bonds enter 2026 as a compelling option for investors: attractive yields, strong fundamentals, and structural changes that continue to reshape the market. After a volatile 2025, marked by Treasury market dislocations and record muni issuance, the outlook for this year suggests more stability — and opportunity.
Return Expectations
We think a 4%-5% return is a reasonable return expectation for the national municipal market in 2026, supported by a stable Treasury rate environment and attractive tax-equivalent yields. While last year’s returns fell slightly short of the 5% target, current valuations and cur
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