7.1.26 A Coiled Spring: The Dollar’s Next Move
The dollar holds a central place in global markets due to its role as the world’s reserve currency. Its movements influence cross-asset correlations, shape liquidity conditions, and often offer early indications of shifts in the broader macro regime. In short, it is a critical variable that warrants close attention.
Over the past 11 months, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has traded within a relatively tight five percent range, a notable period of consolidation. More importantly, there are now early signs of a breakout, with price action beginning to push higher and move beyond the confines of the recent range. Equally signific
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