9.23.25 The Fed Cut Rates; Will it Be Déjà Vu All Over Again?
As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates last week to take the fed funds rate down to 4.25% (upper bound). Moreover, through the release of the updated dot-plot, the Committee signaled that two more interest rate cuts could be appropriate this year, which would take the fed funds rate down to 3.75% (upper bound). The cut was the first rate reduction since last December and the continuation of the rate-cutting campaign that began last September, which has so far seen an unusual reaction out of the Treasury market.
When the Fed delivered its first 50 basis point rate cut last September, bond markets responded in a
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