5.27.25 Where Have All the (Duration) Buyers Gone?
It has seemingly been a one-way move higher in longer-term interest rates in May, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield above 5% again and higher by 0.36% this month alone. Additionally, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breached 4.5%, up 0.35% in May alone. The reasons for the sell-off are many: elevated inflation expectations, a Federal Reserve (Fed) on hold, foreign buyer boycotts, the recent Moody’s downgrade, and the potential for more debt and deficit spending (which are all likely exacerbated by an illiquid Treasury market).
But it hasn’t been just a U.S. problem, long-term interest rates have surged globally, wit
... Read more