Trade tensions continue to weigh on China’s growth, creating added pressure to reach a trade deal with the United States.

Economic reports released last week provided further confirmation that the trade war is continuing to affect

U.S. economic data has been sound this week, providing investors with good news amid a wave of conflicting headlines and market volatility.

Second quarter nonfarm productivity, released August 15, was an especially encouraging report. As

A closely watched point on the Treasury yield curve has fallen negative for the first time in this economic cycle.

As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, Yield Curve Inversion Raises Economic Questions, the spread between the 2-year and 1

Consumer inflation has surged back after a strong quarter of U.S. consumer demand.

As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, Consumer Inflation Picks Up in July, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes food and energy prices, ros

The Federal Reserve (Fed) completed its U-turn in policy last week. Policymakers announced a 25-basis point (0.25%) rate cut July 31, its first in 10 years [Figure 1].

Rate cuts have been a sobering reality in investors&rsq

It could be a momentous week for U.S. monetary policy. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut its policy interest rate for the first time in 10 years on July 31, the last day of its next policy meeting [Figure 1].

The

U.S. economic growth lately has been squarely on consumers’ shoulders. Consumer spending likely added about 2.8% to second quarter gross domestic product (GDP), according to the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Atlanta’s GDP forecasting mode

Financial markets are focused on U.S. monetary policy, but the Federal Reserve (Fed) is only part of the story. Central banks around the world are embarking on a marked policy shift as trade tensions pressure the global economy and government becomes

The June jobs report was solid. Labor market conditions rebounded last month from a disappointing May, easing market worries about the impact of trade tensions on corporate hiring. Nonfarm payrolls rose 224,000 in June, beating consensus estimates fo

Fundamentals continue to support steady but moderate economic growth in 2019. That said, progress on trade is central to our growth projections, so we’ve slightly reduced our gross domestic product (GDP) forecast to 2.25–2.5%. Here we sha