The United States and China have faced growing economic pressure to reach a trade deal. However, the stress may be fading for one party.
As shown in LPL Research’s Chart of the Day, China’s economy is exhibiting signs of stab
...Read More
Economic Commentary
Read More
“The economy, stupid” — Phrase campaign strategist James Carville used to help Bill Clinton get elected in 1992.
As Carville noted ahead of the 1992 election, the recession in 1990 and 1991 was top of mind for many vote
...Read More
The U.S. labor market keeps chugging along, despite signs of weakness in other pockets of the U.S. economy.
Nonfarm payrolls rose 136,000 in September, and July and August payrolls growth were revised up by 45,000. The 12-month average p
...Read More
U.S. manufacturing activity fell to a 10-year low, dragged down by a weakening global economy.
The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 47.6 in September, the lowest level since Jun
...Read More
The German economy, typically a key growth engine for Europe, is sputtering. In fact, it may be entering a recession as we speak.
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, German gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow only 0.1% in
...Read More
Recent stock gains may not just be about a better trade tone or renewed central bank support. U.S. economic fundamentals have also improved.
The Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index, a running average of economic data compared to economists
...Read More
U.S. leading indicators were unchanged in August, following a 0.4% increase in July.
The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) was flat month over month, beating Bloomberg estimates of a 0.1% decline. As shown in the LPL
...Read More
“History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.” Mark Twain
As expected, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy committee cut its policy rate by 25 basis points (.25%) to a target range of 1.75%–2%. This comes on the
...Read More
The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy committee starts its sixth two-day policy meeting of the year today. At 2:00 p.m. ET Wednesday, following the meeting’s conclusion, the Fed will announce its rate decision and release a brief policy stat
...Read More
Consumer inflation has accelerated recently, bucking disinflation and deflation concerns that had permeated financial markets earlier this year.
In August, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased at least 0.3% for a third straight
...Read More