2.6.25 Will History Rhyme? Fixed Income Themes During the First Trump Administration
Early in the second Trump administration, tariff threats have revived market volatility. Recent Treasury yield curve movements reflect this uncertainty, with markets reacting to both threatened and postponed tariffs against key trading partners. Short-term yields rose as markets pushed back expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, while long-term yields declined on economic slowdown concerns and potential trade tensions. These yield curve dynamics mirror patterns seen during the first Trump presidency
During the first Trump administration, trade tensions between the U.S. and China moved both interest rate and credit mark
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