Street View: Central Banks Are Back
LPL Financial Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch talks about global central bank accommodations and financial markets maintaining near-record highs.
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LPL Financial Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch talks about global central bank accommodations and financial markets maintaining near-record highs.
Recent stress in the short-term repurchasing (repo) market has raised concerns about a potential “liquidity crisis” in the financial system.
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, interest rates on repo market agreements jumped last week amid a shortage of cash available to lend, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to inject liquidity into the market to stabilize rates.
In a repo agreement, a holder of a U.S. Treasury security sells it for cash for a short period of time, often overnight, with an agreement to buy the security back for a slightly higher amount. This is treated as a short-term ca
... Read moreThe German economy, typically a key growth engine for Europe, is sputtering. In fact, it may be entering a recession as we speak.
As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, German gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow only 0.1% in both the third and fourth quarters, according to Bloomberg consensus forecasts, after contracting modestly in the second quarter. Most economists use two consecutive quarters of declining GDP as the benchmark for measuring recession.
“What has typically been the engine of growth in Europe has been a drag,” said LPL Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch. &ldq
... Read moreRecent stock gains may not just be about a better trade tone or renewed central bank support. U.S. economic fundamentals have also improved.
The Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index, a running average of economic data compared to economists’ forecasts, has recently reached levels not seen since April 2018, as shown in LPL Research’s Chart of the Day. Stocks have climbed back near records as data has improved, and stronger economic trends could provide support for further advances.
Large economic surprises in recent data span key economic sectors and include building permits, housing starts, ser
... Read more