Are Yields Near a Bottom?
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield moved to within .05% of its recent low on Friday, January 31, approaching the 1.47% mark set back in August 2019. Prospects of stabilizing global growth and progress on trade encouraged yields to start pressing higher over the last four months of 2019; however, fears of the potential economic damage from efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus steered investors back to the relative safety of Treasuries.
While recent declines may make it appear yields are destined to push lower, large swings in Treasury yields, both higher and lower, have been normal. As shown in LPL Chart of the Day, since
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