We continue to receive many questions about stock and economic performance during election years, which we’ve tackled in our recent blogs, “Another Look at Election Years” and ”A Closer Look at Election Years.”

What about Congress? We have divided government in Washington. Do we think they will be able to kiss and make up in time for Valentine’s Day? Odds are slim that will happen, but there is a silver lining. A split Congress historically has seen better stock market performance and economic growth, measured by gross domestic product (GDP). Remember, the Republicans currently have control of

Consumer inflationary pressures grew at a moderate rate in January 2020.

The core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes food and energy, rose 2.3% year over year last month, near the fastest pace of this economic cycle and in line with recent months. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, core CPI growth has been steady, thanks to firm U.S. demand and relatively benign producer price and wage growth.

In recent months, investor concerns have toggled between the future path for inflation potentially becoming too low or too high. Inflation significantly lower than the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% t

A late month selloff in January saw the S&P 500 Index close marginally lower for the month. But stocks have taken off in February, with the S&P 500 up nearly 4% this month, as US economic data remains strong and fears over the worst-case scenarios for the coronavirus appear overblown.

Historically, February has been a month when stocks tend to take a bit of a break. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the S&P 500 has been flat, on average, during the second month of an election year. What is most interesting, though, is how weak October has been historically leading up to presidential elections, yet how strong stock

The financial media returned to a favorite topic in the last week, yield curve inversion, but we caution against getting caught up in the building frenzy.

The Treasury yield curve inverts when short-term interest rates move above long-term rates. As shown in the LPL Research Chart of the Day, the 3-month Treasury yield has sporadically moved higher than the 10-year over the last several weeks. Since the end of World War II, some type of inversion has preceded every recession, although often well in advance and shallow or brief inversions, such as we saw in 2019, can be a false signal.

“The yield c