The equity market’s recovery over the past month has been extraordinary in terms of both speed and scale. A turnaround of such magnitude is highly unusual, and the sudden shift in investor sentiment is among the fastest I have observed in my 25-year career. While it may be tempting to interpret this powerful rally as a definitive signal that risks have subsided, the reality is that plenty of uncertainty remains.

Reflecting on the steep market drop in early April, it seems much of the reaction stemmed from a policy shock rather than a clear deterioration in economic conditions. Specifically, the April 2 tariff announcement s

On May 12, President Donald Trump signed the “Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients” executive order aimed at making prescription drugs more affordable for Americans. The premise driving the initiative is that drug manufacturers have deeply discounted their products in foreign markets and subsidized profits with elevated prices within the U.S.

Government subsidies for research and development, along with differences in prices between countries, have created a free-rider problem where the global benefits of improved pharmaceuticals are paid for disproportionately by the U.S. This

In a recent equity strategy publication (ask your LPL advisor for the latest Equity Strategy Insights publication if interested), we identified potential sector winners and losers under various tariff scenarios. During the high tariff, high trade uncertainty regime (we called it phase one), we identified consumer staples, real estate, utilities, and gold as potential winners. Well, that phase may be behind us.

For the low tariff, trade clarity regime, or phase two, we identified communication services, consumer discretionary, industrials, and technology as potential winners, with communication services as our preference. Now that

Highlights:

• The temporary trade deal with China paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days. Details are still emerging.

• The U.S. effective tariff rate is down to 13.1% from 22.8%, according to Fitch Ratings.

• In a separate report, annual consumer prices decelerated to 2.3%, the lowest since early 2021.

• The release of tension on trades proved a positive catalyst for investors, but the fog has not fully cleared.

“Lake Geneva added great equanimity to what was a very positive process.” – Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent

Appearing before the press, Bessent rep